Archduke Gilad Shalit

********** UPDATE 3**********
Israeli vigilantes claim to have kidnapped Palestinians.

There is not a solution to this that does not involve a lot of violence for quite some time...at least I don't have faith in a solution without violence being possible. I'm holding onto hope that this stays within the Middle East but that is starting to fade.

********** UPDATE 2**********
This update is also where I normally put updates...at the bottom of the post, but I have a feeling that THIS whole story is more important and being looked at in too narrow of a lens.

Can I just say I told you so...my conspiracy theory may not be too far off. This JUST in, "Guerrillas who captured Israeli soldiers are trying to 'transfer them to Iran'". Which leads me to several conclusions. If this is true then it is not a Middle East conflict...this is really a Middle East, Islamic Nation, North Korean alliance and their enemy is the West. Even though Europe does not want to admit it, the West is them and it is the U.S. and it is Australia and it is Japan.

"It starts."
********** Original Post **********
Yesterday on the bus someone asked what I think of what is happening around Israel. He does not know about the radio show so I could not just tell him that I'm on record several weeks ago of saying that I believe Cpl. Gilad Shalit is, at least in the Middle East, the 2006 version of Archduke Franz Ferdinand.

Shalit was kidnapped in an unprovked incursion by Lebanon...and yes, since Hamas was behind the incursion and they are the ruling party it is fair to say the country is responsible.

Immediate response from Israel was some bombings, flyovers in Syria, kidnapping some of the Hamas-ian cabinet (some of whom were assassinated) and taking control of an unused airport.

At that point I declared on the air that it will get much worse before it seriously get better.

Egypt was trying to be the mediator, but I think it would have been for naught because even if everything were solved "diplomatically" the vigilanted in Palestine would have still engaged in retaliatory violent acts which would have again flamed the tension.

In the meantime everyone blamed Israel. Don't know why beyond the fact that Europe, the UN and the Global Left are truly and absolutely anti-Semitic...which, is odd since they claim to be about anti-discrimination. Sorry for the diversion.

Fast forward to the past few days. Palestine was bombing Israel...not as proficiently as Isreal was bombing them, but the act is the same. Then they begged for a cease fire...which I am happy to say Israel did NOT concur with. Palestine kidnapped and killed more soldiers.

So where does that leave us.

Capture of Israeli soldiers raises specter of broader Mideast conflict.
Israel sends first troops into Lebanon in 6 years.
Israel Imposing Blockade on Lebanon
I still think it will only get worse before it gets better.

And guess what. Everyone still is down on Israel. Russia, Greece, Britain, France...everyone except the United States is bitching at Israel.

Go back up to the top of this post to remember what the first event in this chain was. Lebanon violated the border of Israel, attacked soldiers, kidnapped some of them...and that is somehow Israel's fault.

Before returning to the reason this is, as Glenn Beck says, a "crap your pants day", we have to analyze why Israel is not only in the right but not excuting excessive response.

Remember that the United States detractors were/are upset about Iraq because it was a "pre-emptive" strike. The truth is now again being borne out about their objection. It was not "pre-emptive" that they were upset about...it was that the United States was not just sitting back and taking shots. They hold the United States and Israel to the same ridiculous, self-destructive standard: No matter what no response is ever warranted. Remember, many of them did not want us to even go into Afghanistan!

Now refresh the start of this chain of events again: Lebanon violated the border of Israel, attacked soldiers, kidnapped some of them...

That is enough to consider it an act of war. War is (well it should be unless your leaders are Lyndon B Johnson, Richard M Nixon and George H.W. Bush) no holds barred. Israel has every right in the name of SELF DEFENSE to bomb Lebanon into French-like surrender and beyond. Lebannon made the first salvo and it is justified to be continued until Israel is the last man standing!

Now back to the "crap your pants day" explanation.

Rather than me explaining to you why this is going to be, well, bad, I'm going to let you figure it out.

Which country in the world (besides the U.S. which is hamstrung from major actions by being in an election year) wants a resolution that involves Israel's survival?
How many countries in the Middle East alone have "uncontrollable" factions who are violence-first types?
The Israeli Prime Minister has no military experience and in Israel that requires stronger stances against the anti-Semites for political survival...how can he order the bombing? (Remember while answering that question, he is a politician so what is right takes a 2nd seat to what is expedient for his career.)

You are starting to get the picture.

While "peace" has been the facade in the region the underlying truth is both sides have been waiting for a long time for a reason to kill the other.

Now for the X-Files, conspiracy theory watch.
Did you notice that Iran is helping North Korea now? I wonder if there are 2 fronts to the hate-the-West battle, Iran-North Korea and Middle East-Al Qaeda. I wonder if they are working in loose conjunction with each other looking to distract the West on front and then another.

End of conspiracy theory watch.

The situation does not have any factors that lead one to believe this actually can get better without devolving into a much worse state of affairs.

********** UPDATE 1**********
Israel is bombing near Syria...just a matter of time before Syria jumps in.

Hizbollah fires 70 rockets into Israel.

Why is Shalit the Archduke. I have said that it is the beginning of some really nasty stuff. To what end? This is for the world. It is the battle for either a free world or an extremist Islamic state ruling the world.

********** UPDATE 2**********
Can I just say I told you so...my conspiracy theory may not be too far off. This JUST in, "Guerrillas who captured Israeli soldiers are trying to 'transfer them to Iran'". Which leads me to several conclusions. If this is true then it is not a Middle East conflict...this is really a Middle East, Islamic Nation, North Korean alliance and their enemy is the West. Even though Europe does not want to admit it, the West is them and it is the U.S. and it is Australia and it is Japan.

"It starts."

********** UPDATE 4**********
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