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Monday, November 21, 2005

TradeSports Update

--posted by Tony Garcia on 11/21/2005

TradeSports updates...
On the news/rumors about Abu Musab al-Zarqawi might be dead the market reacted. The contract that Zarqawi would be captured/neutralized by the end of 2005 went up from about 6.5% to 27.0% but then has fallen back down to 20%.

The Colts winning the Super Bowl: 42.0% that is up again after their shoot-out victory against the Bengals yesterday.

Alito's confirmation has seen some movement since the last update on November 7. Alito's confirmation has fallen from 89.9% to 84.9%.

..Alito will get....% on 11/7....% on 11/21....+/-..
40 votes98.9%98.9%even
50 votes94.9%94.2%- 0.7%
60 votes79.9%65.5%-24.4%
70 votes32.9%14.2%-18.7%
80 votes9.0%6.5%- 2.5%
90 votes3.9%4.5%+0.6%

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