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Friday, October 20, 2006

World Series 2006

--posted by Tony Garcia on 10/20/2006

The Detroit Tigers and the St Louis Cardinals are going to meet in the World Series for the 3rd time. Call this the rubber match of Series. The Tigers beat the Cardinals in 1968 in seven games and the Cardinals beat the Tigers in seven games back in 1934.

Detroit is the far superior team. But somehow the Cardinals keep finding ways to survive. With 11 games remaining the Cardinals led the NL Central by more than 5 games. They simply needed to win 45% of their remaining schedule EVEN IF the rest of the division won-out their 10 games. And somehow the Cardinals made the race come down to the very last day...winning their division only because Houston lost 2 out of 3 to Atlanta...the 2nd of those losses on the last day of the season.

Yes, Detroit was also the victim of an incredible comeback. They blew a 10 game lead over 2nd place. They blew a 12.5 game lead over the eventual division winner. They from game 34 through game 161 they were in 1st place and had to settle instead for the Wild Card. They could have won the division with a win over the lowly Royals to close the season...instead they were swept.

The Cardinals and the Tigers both dominated in their Divisional Series matchups, both winning in 4 games. The differences showed in the LCS. The Tigers swept their series. The Cardinals took it literally to the end...winning in 7 games and winning the 7th game by scoring in the 9th inning.

Detroit's pitching is superior. St Louis' bats are better. Pitching is generally the key in the playoffs.

TradeSports has the Tigers as a 2:1 favorite (66.7% chance to win). I think the Tigers will win in 5.

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Blogger gbradley said...

I'm rooting for the Red Birds.
Pujols is the man.

October 20, 2006  
Blogger gbradley said...

If it keeps on raining, Pujols is gonna have to be Mr. November.

October 25, 2006  

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